Global brands are being forced by the looming recession in the US and Europe to engage in tough negotiations with Indian exporters. They want Indian apparel exporters to supply garments at the pre-Covid level prices. However, Indian exporters can’t give huge discounts despite the rupee weakening because cotton prices have not come down to the 2019 level. According to Narendra Goenka, Chairman, AEPC, from a high of Rs1 lakh per confection, cotton prices have decreased by 15 per cent and the following weeks are expected to see a further decrease.
Foreign purchasers are making aggressive offers to reduce the cost of clothing as a result of the rupee's depreciation against the dollar. The rupee has dropped to a new record low against the US dollar as a result of the increasing dollar index and economic concerns, with investors continuing to choose the greenback as a safe-haven investment.
So, orders for spring 2023 that are built and transported between October and March will be impacted by the recessionary trend in the US and Europe. Indian exporters are expecting a reduction in export orders up to 10 per cent for spring 2023, which will harm their second financial year. They are now looking at newer markets like Japan, Latin America, and Australia to make up the predicted losses.
Bangladesh’s knitwear exports maintained robust growth in the 2021-22 fiscal year. As per Export Promotion Bureau The sector bagged nearly 55 per cent of the export earnings in the apparel sector. Knitwear registered a growth of 36 per cent in FY22; earned 18.96 per cent more than the export target set for the fiscal. The apparel sector as whole, the highest earner of the export receipts, grew 35 per cent. Woven garments grew by 33.82 per cent.
During the 1980s, woven clothing, like shirts and pants, was the main export item of the apparel sector, with a share of nearly 90 per cent. Demand for knitwear has been increasing lately, thanks to the maintenance facilities, durability and fashionability. Knitwear uses 85 per cent raw materials from local sources. So the rate of value addition is high.
Domestic value addition is 60 per cent in knitwear, while it is around 45 per cent in woven. This convinced entrepreneurs to invest more in the knitwear sector and for this reason Bangladesh’s export of knitwear is increasing. Knit garments have a strong backward linkage capability. Knitwear clothing is much more comfortable and easier to wear than woven. Another reason knitwear exports have been rising is that people now use sports tracks instead of sweaters during winter.
Lanvin is looking to boost sales in the US and China by adding new product areas and diversifying beyond European brands and into a younger age bracket. Fosun, a Chinese conglomerate, bought a controlling stake in Lanvin in 2018 and has continued to add new brands since then. China’s Fosun is on the hunt for an addition to its collection of fashion brands, which includes Lanvin and St John Knits.
First, Fosun aims at floating Lanvin on the New York Stock Exchange via a blank-check company in October or November. A potential acquisition would come after that. The purchase could follow the template established by Lanvin’s acquisition of Sergio Rossi last year, which allowed it to bolster its offering of accessories. The company is looking at areas including beauty and skin care as well. Lanvin houses the eponymous French fashion brand as well as Italian shoemaker Sergio Rossi, Austrian lingerie brand Wolford, US women’s wear maker St. John Knits and Italian menswear brand Caruso.
Lanvin’s 2021 revenue grew 39 per cent, including sales from Sergio Rossi after the brand was acquired in the second half. Lanvin hopes to achieve profitability before taxes, depreciation and other items by 2024 as planned.
India Trend Fair will be held in Tokyo from July 20 to 22, 2022. The fair aims to boost bilateral trade and investment in sectors spanning fashion, accessories, and handmade goods. Around 150 Indian businesses will showcase their latest collections to Japanese buyers, wholesalers, importers, and retailers.
Businesses will present products specially designed to suit Japanese customer demand and local market trends. The trade show will feature six broad product categories comprising apparel and fashion, leather goods, accessories, bags and shoes, handmade goods, and household items. Each section will feature numerous sub-categories of products to present a diverse selection of Indian products available for export. The fair is expected to provide an opportunity to encounter Indian apparel and provide visitors with plenty of stimulating ideas and exciting experiences to take home. India’s leading brands and companies will be presenting many exhibits.
The trade show is organized by the Japan India Industry Promotion Association, a non-profit that works to promote trade between India and Japan. It collects and analyses information on Japanese and Indian industrial markets. The event is supported by Indian traders’ bodies, the Apparel Export Promotion Council, Handloom Export Promotion Council for Handicrafts and The Export Promotion Council for Handicrafts.
At least 300 textile mills have closed in Pakistan due to severe energy crunch and the subsequent suspension of gas supply, says All Pakistan Textile Mills Association (APTMA) chairman Abdul Rahim Nasir.
Earlier this week, Pakistan sought more gas imports on deferred payments from Qatar to restore gas supply to the textile industry on an urgent basis. A 26 per cent upsurge in export of textiles during the fiscal year 2021-22 was made possible only due to the supply of energy at a regionally competitive tariff. The exponential growth in the textile sector has promoted massive investments and the establishment of 100 new textile units, which, after becoming operational, would result in fetching additional exports.
If this momentum is lost due to energy supply and cost constraints, exporters say, Pakistan will be forced to seek additional loans from abroad, which under the circumstances may not even be possible. So the export-oriented industry has underlined the immediate restoration of gas supply. Gas supply to the industry was suspended for a week, which led to the large-scale closure of mills that ultimately resulted in massive layoffs and unemployment. Not only industry but owners of hotels and restaurants are also complaining of a gas shortage, as it is having an adverse impact on their business.
The Southern India Mills Association (SIMA) has welcomed the RBI announcement on the international trade settlement in Indian rupees, saying this would benefit Indian exporters and importers, who have been facing challenges owing to the tightening of monetary policies all over the world.
SIMA says the policy would encourage countries having substantial trade with India and having a forex shortage to increase their trade thereby opening more opportunities to boost exports apart from helping India reduce its trade deficits on account of oil imports. Though the real benefit would be reaped only after considerable time, in the long run this would encourage several countries intending to trade in Indian rupees to opt for such trade and thereby make the rupee a currency for international trade.
Since several textile exporters are struggling to realize the money from certain countries, including Russia and Sri Lanka that are currently facing economic crisis and sanctions, the RBI decision would greatly help to settle export/import payments and encourage a cordial trade relationship.
The Indian textile and clothing industry’s exports account for around 10 per cent of the country’s exports. The textile industry has been facing challenges on account of volatility in forex rates especially the US dollar rates. The rupee has depreciated to a record level in recent days.
Fashion brands across the world may rejoice over putting pandemic gloomiest seasons behind but fashion manufacturers in Italy, both big and small, are keeping a close watch on current economic and geopolitical scenario. As per a Woman’s Wear Daily report, the government in Italy is introducing a range of initiatives to help fashion companies retain business. It is helping established and new brands connect with local supply chain besides offering marketing expertise.
Supporting SMEs since 2015, David Clementoni, Founder, Artisan has developed a platform to recruit firms with employees numbering four to 100. He has also been engaging third-party manufacturers across 30 out of 54 of Italy’s fashion manufacturing hubs and helping them connect with international fashion brands and retailers. Introduced in its current version in 2019, the platform has onboarded around 700 manufacturing, points out Clementoni. He is continuously hunting for new players to add to the platform. New players have led to the evolution of the platform’s goals. Brands continue to join the platform as they look to re-shore production from abroad to leverage the ‘Made in Italy’ label. As of June, the platform boasted of 10,000 registered brands.
The platform aims to ensure efficient and effective execution of business, says Clementoni. It acts more as a facilitator than an intermediary as its business model is based on royalties from produced goods and add-on services provided by it, he adds. Artisan recently collaborated with British platform Arts Thread, which has 300,000 users from fashion schools across the globe, and Italy’s Camera Buyer to allow local retailers develop house brands. Through these initiatives, the platform aims to attract 60,000 brands by 2028 and generate more than 370 million euros in business.
Like Artisan, Italy’s association of leather goods manufacturer Assopellettieri has been boosting relationships between manufacturing and players operating outside Italy through its Mipel Lab format, developed in collaboration with tanning industry trade show Lineapelle.
An area within Lineapelle’s biannual fair, the format introduced a digital business-to-business platform in collaboration with the Intesa Sanpaolo bank and Ds Group, which provided the AI-enabled software. The association aims to seek new opportunities for our enterprises, says Franco Gabrelli, President, Assopellettieri. Leather goods firms in the country have been moving towards third-party manufacturing as sales of in-house brands are declining with growing competition from fashion houses having marketing prowess.
Having 16 manufacturers, which together post revenues of €500,000 million, the association looks to Italy’s supply chain besides engaging brands operating outside Italy due to rising production and logistics costs from overseas manufacturing, adds D’Alessandro.
Earlier, brands viewed manufacturing costs as squandering, as they often had to deal with two to four intermediaries. This dented their bottom lines and wasted resources, affirms D’Alessandro. They also had to seek reliable production partners and offer high-value services which weren’t feasible for small manufacturers. Hence, they preferred to outsource production to neighboring countries such as Spain and Portugal were seen as less expensive. However, this is no longer the case, he pronounces.
Posting a ‘V-shaped’ rebound from the pandemic, global luxury sales surged 7 per cent to $301 billion in 2021 over 2019 pre-pandemic levels, reveals consulting firm Bain & Co. Sales of luxury players including Chanel and Hermes’ grew almost 30 per cent. However, the impending global economic recession threatens to derail this growth story, explains a Business of Fashion report. With inflation and interest rests soaring across Europe and North America, rising fuel and food prices are straining household budgets. Primary driver of the luxury industry, the US saw its economy shrink 1.6 per cent Q-o-Q between January-March, indicates the Bureau of Economic Analysis. EU Statistics agency Eurostat figures reveals, inflation in Europe reached its highest levels of 8.6 per cent in June.
So far, consumer expenditure on luxury items has been resistant to deteriorating economic conditions. This can be seen from the 19 per cent rise in sales compared to the pre-pandemic sales, says Bain. The analysts attribute this to revenge spending after resumption in travel, socializing and travel.
However, despite continuing sales upsurge through summer, the share of people indulging in luxury sales is set to decline. Statistics show, wealthy shoppers tend to spend less when the market is down though the impact of this decline is often less dramatic than other groups. A few analysts expect luxury sales to be more resilient during the current crisis as lower income and middle-class consumers have been more affected than high-income earners. Previous recessions had affected luxury consumers more than this time, notes Adam Cochrane, Analyst, Deutsche Bank
Yet, luxury sales are not determined by ultra-rich consumers only. Even middle class and aspirational shoppers make up for a significant percentage of this category. Off late, brands have been introducing more accessible products in categories like streetwear, sneakers, eyewear and small accessories to attract these shoppers.
The distinction between absolute luxury and more accessible brands has blurred as brands are offering products at wider price points, says Federica Levato, Partner, Bain & Co. Brands appealing to higher-income groups are likely to perform better during the current recession while those appealing to aspirational consumers will be the hardest hit.
Brands with strongest recall to win
The pandemic made a clear distinction between the winners and losers as companies with strongest brand recall excelled while smaller players struggled. The impending recession is expected to make this this distinction even clearer.
According to UBS, one of the only companies to report positive sales growth during the recession is likely to be Hermes. They also expect positive sales by LVMH while Tod’s and Ferragamo are expected to falter.
Scale allows luxury players to invest in brand building, especially during difficult times like these, says Daniel Langer, CEO, Equité and Executive Professor, Pepperdine University. They can play a bigger role in influencing consumers and boosting their emotional well-being, he adds.
Brands like Chanel are exploring this strategy to tide over pandemic losses. It increased marketing spend by $1.8 billion in 2021. This enabled it to increase revenues by 23 per cent to $15 billion last year. The recession can prove to be a great opportunity for brands to play a bigger role in the industry and invest in winning customers’ trust.
Depending on how quickly China recovers from the recession, Bain & Co expect the luxury industry to grow between 5 and 15 per cent this year. However, the industry seems to be better prepared to face the crisis than it was in 2008.
Brands seem to be better equipped to respond to unpredictable demand with shortened lead times and more agile supply chains. They also have a better control over distribution channels, and are strategically reducing dependence on wholesale channels. This enables them to achieve a higher margin on each sales and boost bottom lines. It also enables them to control discounts and encourage full-price sales
Brands need to also focus on inventory management during times of volatile demand. They need to stock more classic times like bags, shoes and fine jewelry, that can be carried over from season to seaon. This will enable them to retain brand value and be culturally revelant.
India’s exports of leather and leather products are expected to grow in 2022-23 on account of growing demand for these products in global markets, says the Council of Leather Exports. Changes in global market dynamics caused by the pandemic have created huge export opportunities for the sector. Also with a slew of trade agreements signed and in the pipeline and active support of the government are helping sustain the export growth in the remaining months of this year.
Shipments from the sector rose by 32.5 per cent in 2021-22 from the previous year. The healthy export growth witnessed in 2021-22 is continuing this year also, with export of leather, leather products and footwear increasing in April to May 2022 from April to May 2021. In this period exports to the USA registered a growth of about 78.5 per cent. Shipments to India's largest market Europe too registered a growth of 44.6 per cent during the first two months of this fiscal. Exports to other markets like Canada, Australia, the UAE have also grown this year. Signing of trade pacts with the UAE and Australia are expected to help in further boosting outbound shipments.
More than 200 small mills involved in recycling cotton waste into yarn and fabrics across Tamil Nadu have come together and formed a recycle textile federation called Recycle Textile Federation. Creating awareness among members on the markets where the products and services have a demand is the focus of the federation.
Headquartered in Coimbatore, the federation presently has 230 members representing various mills from Tamil Nadu. The federation has plans to bring together such mills across the country to collectively address the needs of the industry, identify markets in different parts of the world, and direct its members to cater to places that need their products and services.
There are 400 mills in Tamil Nadu that process/recycle cotton waste and PET bottles into yarns and garments, with Coimbatore and Tirupur having 180 such mills. The federation would first strive to bring them together and function as an entity that would represent their common needs and demands and would also go for national and international coordination.
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