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US crop may fall by 18 per cent

For 2015 the US cotton crop is projected at 18 per cent below the 2014 crop. During the previous two decades, the October estimate has been below final cotton production 11 times and above it 8 times.

Upland cotton production is forecast to decrease in each of the cotton belt regions this season. In the southwest, the upland crop is estimated at six million bales. Beneficial rainfall at planting time has reduced expected abandonment to only six per cent, the lowest in five seasons.

In the southeast, the 2015 cotton crop is forecast at 4.3 million bales, the lowest in six seasons as reduced area accounted for most of the decline. Past differences between the October estimate and final production indicate that chances are two out of three that the 2015 US upland cotton crop will range between 12.2 and 13.5 million bales.

US upland cotton crop is forecast at 12.9 million bales, below both last season and the five-year average. Total 2015 US cotton harvested area is estimated at nearly 8.2 million acres, compared with 9.3 million acres last season, and national yield is forecast at 784 pounds per harvested acre. In the Delta, the cotton crop is projected at 2.2 million bales, the lowest since 1983.

 
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