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Textile survey reflects optimism among companies

"Wazir Advisors’ ‘Business Confidence Index’ is a barometer of what businesses think is going to happen in the near future. In India, so far there has been no textile and apparel sector specific confidence index which could provide forward looking data set or ‘lead indicators’ about the sector’s anticipated performance. With an aim to fill this gap, Wazir Advisors commissioned a biannual Business Confidence Survey for the Indian textile and apparel industry. The first survey was undertaken in November 2017 wherein responses from companies across size, sub-segment and geography were obtained using a structured questionnaire."

 

 

Textile survey reflects optimism among companies

 

Wazir Advisors’ ‘Business Confidence Index’ is a barometer of what businesses think is going to happen in the near future. In India, so far there has been no textile and apparel sector specific confidence index which could provide forward looking data set or ‘lead indicators’ about the sector’s anticipated performance. With an aim to fill this gap, Wazir Advisors commissioned a biannual Business Confidence Survey for the Indian textile and apparel industry. The first survey was undertaken in November 2017 wherein responses from companies across size, sub-segment and geography were obtained using a structured questionnaire. The survey summarises the performance expectations of firms over the next 6-months for Indian economy, textile and apparel industry; and their own organization. Around 80 per cent of the respondents were involved in garment manufacturing.

Six Months Ahead: Positive expectations

Textile survey reflects optimism among

 

In the survey undertaken 40 per cent of the respondents had less than Rs 100 crore of revenue; 54 per cent of the respondents were export oriented; 73 per cent of the respondents employed more than 500 persons and 40 per cent of the respondents said that the current overall economy is worst relative to the last six months. However, 80 per cent of the respondents said that they are expecting a better overall economy in the next six months. 53 per cent of respondents have shown a negative sentiment for the industry’s current scenario, somewhat similar to the feedback received for current economic scenario. However, almost two-thirds of the respondents expressed that conditions will be better in next six months.

Almost 73 per cent respondents said demand and profits have decreased because of GST while almost two-thirds reported increase in unemployment. Lower demand during initial months of GST implementation was a procedural issue rather than an economic one. Consumer demand got postponed in certain instances, but never decreased. Manufacturers reporting lower demand thus indicate depletion of stocks in the supply chain. Eventually, the supply chain will look to replenish stock levels and that would mean a much stronger demand from the suppliers in next 6 months. The impact of GST on input cost did not have a clear trend as 33 per cent said it has decreased while 47 per cent said input costs have increased. At the firm level, the current scenario seems neutral to negative as 40 per cent respondents said there is no change compared to the last six months while one-third said that they are negatively impacted. However, 40 per cent of the respondents reported higher orders than last six months while one-third reported status quo. Majority of respondents nearly 73 per cent, held an optimistic outlook for the next six months with respect to the firm’s performance.

For order book volume, 67 per cent expect it will increase further but a same number of respondents reported no change in investments in the next six months. Almost half the respondents expect the input costs to reduce in next six months but 40 per cent expect them to increase. On the employment expectations, the answers were again mixed with 40 per cent expecting increase while 33 per cent expecting decrease 67 per cent of the respondents view increasing wages as the major constraint to business growth. imports, low demand, rupee appreciation and rising raw material costs were cited by 47 per cent of the respondents as a key constraint. Unavailability of skilled labour was cited as a major challenge by 40 per cent of the respondents. The survey findings point out that Indian textile and apparel industry is at an inflection point today. The responses received indicate that on one hand, firms are feeling a lot of pain because of recent policy changes but on the other hand, they are extremely hopeful of the turnaround.

 
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