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ICAC: Cotton farmers face uncertainty amid climate, market shifts

 

Cotton growers in both hemispheres are grappling with tough planting decisions due to climate volatility and market uncertainty.

In the Northern Hemisphere, farmers in the United States, India, and China must navigate unpredictable weather patterns. Prolonged droughts and excessive rainfall make water availability a major concern, especially in Texas and Gujarat. Advanced climate models are now crucial in determining optimal planting windows.

Meanwhile, in the Southern Hemisphere, Brazil continues expanding its cotton acreage by converting degraded pastureland in the Cerrado region. Unlike the US and India, Brazil benefits from available farmland and well-defined wet and dry seasons, which minimize harvest disruptions. Australia, however, faces water allocation restrictions, while Argentina struggles with erratic weather.

Market uncertainty adds another layer of complexity. The Secretariat projects the 2024/25 season-average A index to range between 92.00 and 97.00 cents per pound, with a midpoint of 94.00 cents. These price fluctuations could influence planting decisions worldwide as farmers weigh risks against potential returns.

With climate and market pressures mounting, cotton growers must adapt quickly to shifting conditions, relying on technology and strategic planning to ensure a stable crop yield.

 
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