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Subdued demand from domestic consumers and challenging year-over-year comparisons with last year’s surge post lifting of COVID restrictions are expected to dampen the sales of luxury brands in mainland China during the first quarter.
The world’s largest luxury group, LVMH is set to report financial results for the first quarter on April 16, followed by competitors Kering, Prada, and Hermès a week later. Burberry and Richemont are expected to follow suit in May.
JPMorgan predicts, overall sales for LVMH are expected to remain flat during the first quarter, with the fashion and leather goods division growing by 2 per cent. Figures from UBS analyst shows, organic sales growth for LVMH are expected to remain at 3 per cent organic sales growth for LVMH during the first quarter ending in March, with projections for other luxury players varying.
Kering forecasts first quarter sales to decline by 10 per cent decline as against the 3 per cent anticipated by analysts. The company attributes this decline to a sharp drop in sales in Asia, particularly from its flagship label Gucci. This underperformance has raised concerns that other high-end fashion brands may also be facing challenges in the Chinese market.
Analysts at HSBC note that Chinese tourists in Hong Kong, Macau, and Singapore are showing less inclination towards lavish spending, further exacerbating the situation.
Kering's struggles in China have contributed to its lower valuation compared to rivals. Its 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio of 16 lags behind LVMH's 24 and Hermès's 51.
There is uncertainty regarding the pace of recovery in high-end fashion consumption, even as year-over-year comparisons become less challenging. Analysts at Barclays predict a slowdown in global luxury goods sales growth to mid-single-digit percentages, down from nearly 9 per cent last year and double-digit growth in previous years.
As the cost of living rises, consumers are becoming more discerning about luxury purchases, leading to diverging performance among brands. Stronger performers like Louis Vuitton, Chanel, and Hermès are expected to fare better than brands like Burberry, which is undergoing restructuring.
Caroline Reyl, Head – Premium Brands, Pictet Asset Management, notes that certain brands will benefit more than others in this environment. Sales growth for companies like Prada, which has seen success with its Miu Miu label among younger Chinese shoppers, are expected is expected to remain slow. Global reail sales for Prada are expected to rise by 9 per cent in the first quarter, according to Jefferies.
Renowned fashion brand, Huemn has teamed up the iconic motorcycle manufacturer Royal Enfield to launch their new collection titled ‘Shot of Mumbai.’.
This exclusive collection boasts an array of apparel including t-shirts, hoodies, denim pieces, and helmets, all inspired by the essence of the Royal Enfield Hunter 350.
Mohit Dhar Jayal, Chief Brand Officer, Royal Enfield, states, this collaboration embodies the shared values of creativity, self-expression, and a bold sense of style between the two brands.
Pranav Misra, Co-founder & CEO, Huemn, adds, reflecting the dynamic and vibrant spirit of both brands, the collection serving as a convergence of worlds that resonates with the modern explorer and celebrates individuality.
Offering fashion enthusiasts a unique fusion of fashion and motorcycling culture, the ‘Shot of Mumbai’ collection will be available on Huemn’s and Royal Enfield’s online platforms.
India's textile industry is at the forefront of a transformative movement towards environmental sustainability, as demonstrated by a recent gathering in Tirupur. Organized jointly by the Tirupur Exporters Association and Dyers Association of Tirupur, the event marked a pivotal moment in the industry's quest to address the widespread use of hazardous chemicals.
Supported by influential bodies including the Global Environment Facility (GEF), United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO), and Ministry of Textiles (MoT), this initiative signals a collective determination to usher in a greener era for textile manufacturing in India.
Central to the initiative is a comprehensive project led by UNIDO, GEF, and MoT, focusing on overhauling Tirupur's textile landscape. With a primary emphasis on environmental sustainability, the project encompasses a range of initiatives, from minimizing hazardous chemicals to implementing energy-saving measures.
The recent meeting, held on April 4, 2024, served as a dynamic platform for stakeholders to deliberate on various aspects of the project. Discussions revolved around innovative strategies such as circular business models, cleaner production methods, and sustainable practices aimed at reducing energy consumption, water usage, and pollution within the sector.
Notable figures in attendance included K M Subramanian, President of Tirupur Exporters Association, and Pankaj Kumar, National Project Coordinator of UNIDO. The project, currently in its preparatory phase, is scheduled to commence by the end of 2024 or early 2025, with a focus on supporting all identified clusters under the UNIDO-GEF initiative for MoT.
The collaborative efforts of stakeholders, backed by international organizations and governmental bodies, signify a significant stride towards a more sustainable future for India's textile industry. By prioritizing cleaner production methods and reducing hazardous chemicals, this initiative marks a transformative shift towards environmentally responsible manufacturing practices.
India and Oman have finalized negotiations for a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA), signaling a significant advancement in their trade relations. The deal, set to be inked post the formation of a new Indian central government, aims at bolstering Indian exports to Oman by abolishing tariffs on various products including petroleum, textiles, electronics, pharmaceuticals, machinery, iron, and steel.
Sources close to the negotiations revealed that all outstanding issues have been resolved, with a focus on reaping benefits in services. The agreement holds promise for fostering a green, energy-efficient manufacturing base, enabling Indian firms to establish production facilities in Oman for exporting eco-friendly goods. This initiative resonates with India's commitment to sustainable manufacturing practices.
The strategic timing of the agreement, just ahead of India's general elections, underscores its political significance. Oman stands as India's third-largest export destination within the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), with bilateral trade reaching $12.39 billion in fiscal year 2023, marking a notable surge from $5 billion in fiscal year 2019.
Despite the burgeoning trade volume, a substantial portion of Indian exports to Oman currently incur an average import duty of 5 per cent. Oman's import tariff regime spans from 0 per cent to 100 per cent, with certain items such as meats, wines, and tobacco attracting a hefty 100 per cent duty.
The impending CEPA holds the promise of unlocking further growth potential in the bilateral trade relationship, fostering mutual economic benefits for both nations while facilitating the expansion of their respective manufacturing sectors.
Vietnamese garment companies including Saigon 3 and Garco 10 have reported significant year-on-year increases in exports during the first quarter. This has led to key garment players expressing confidence in their order books and ability to sustain operations well into the third quarter.
The rise in revenues is a result of recovery of demand from the US, says a spokesperson from Saigon 3. Similarly, noting a 15 per cent Y-o-Y rise in the company’s revenue, Than Duc Viet, CEO, Garco 10, outlines ambitious targets for the year to further boost the company’s revenues and profit.
After a challenging 2023 marked by declining exports, particularly in major markets like the US and EU, the outlook for 2024 for these companies appears promising. Their exports during the first quarter showed a significant uptick, bringing them closer to the annual export target of $44 billion.
Despite this optimism, the industry still remains concerned about geopolitical tensions and their potential impact on shipping costs. Additionally, pressure from global fashion brands to adhere to sustainability standards and embrace digital transformation poses challenges for Vietnamese garment businesses.
Vu Duc Giang, Chairman, Vietnam Garment and Apparel Association, has urged businesses to adopt green transformation initiatives and invest in technology to maintain competitiveness and meet evolving global supply chain requirements. He particularly raised concerns about the potential decline in exports from the country to the EU due to stringent emissions standards set by initiatives like the European Green Deal.
Established in 1987, renowned fashion brand Ted Baker is undergoing significant restructuring amidst financial challenges. Owned by the entity, No Ordinary Designer Label (NODL), the brand is restructuring its operations under the leadership of administrators from Teneo. It aims to close approximately 15 stores across the UK besides eliminating around 245 jobs.
By the end of the following week, Ted Baker plans to close 11 of its stores, resulting in around 120 job losses. These include stores in prominent locations such as Birmingham Bullring, Bristol, and London Bridge, among others.
Additionally, the company will terminate around 25 head office positions to reduce central costs.
Further exacerbating the situation, four additional stores are slated for closure in the coming weeks due to landlords terminating leases. This move will lead to approximately 100 more job losses. These stores, including locations like Bicester and London's Brompton Road, are deemed unprofitable, even with potential rent reductions.
The decision to undergo such restructuring was partially attributed to difficulties stemming from a partnership with the Dutch company AARC Group, which resulted in significant financial arrears. NODL terminated this partnership in January after AARC failed to fulfill its commitments to inject capital into the business.
Despite the challenges, Authentic Brands, the owner of Ted Baker's intellectual property, remains committed to revitalising the brand. They are actively seeking new partners to manage Ted Baker's retail and online operations in the UK and Europe. Prior to the restructuring, Ted Baker operated 46 stores in the UK and employed approximately 975 individuals.
To address mounting concerns over the environmental impact of fast fashion, France has passed a new legislation that aims to regulate the industry and promote eco-friendly practices.
The law mandates that companies producing a large volume of low-cost garments
must disclose the environmental impact of their products and prominently display recycling messages on their websites. Failure to comply could result in fines of up to $16,000. Additionally, a new eco-scoring system will evaluate fashion brands based on sustainability criteria, with poor performers facing penalties of up to $10 per item by 2030. Advertising of fast fashion will be banned starting in 2025.
Applauded by advocates of sustainable fashion, the new legislation is being seen as a crucial measure to tackle the excessive waste generated by rapid trends. It would mainly benefit local designers who adhere to responsible production practices.
However, some experts argue that the threshold for defining fast fashion may be too lenient, and there are differing opinions on the proposed penalties, with calls for stricter compliance measures.
Given France's influence on global fashion trends, these regulations could have significant implications for purchasing behaviors if adopted across Europe.
Moving forward, the industry needs to find a balance between business interests and environmental responsibilities to meet its climate commitments, opine experts.
Italian circular knitting machine giant, Santoni, in collaboration with Groz-Beckert, has pioneered an innovative self-cleaning knitting system, Innotas, set to redefine efficiency and sustainability in textile manufacturing. This innovative system features the SAN DUO needle and SNK DUO-OL sinker, promising a paradigm shift in circular knitting technology.
Motivated by the industry's increasing sustainability demands and the quest for heightened efficiency, Groz-Beckert initiated the project, aiming to create an energy-efficient knitting solution. The collaboration, sanctioned in January 2015, birthed a revolutionary design integrating self-cleaning mechanisms within the needle area, boasting side-by-side needles and a low shank configuration.
Field trials conducted in 2016 showcased promising results, with the double filling in the needle channel drastically reducing soiling, while the enhanced design facilitated automatic removal of yarn lint during the knitting process, elongating cleaning intervals and boosting productivity.
Noteworthy features include the low shaft of both the SAN DUO needle and SNK DUO-OL sinker, minimizing contamination, and a predetermined breaking notch ensuring controlled needle breakage, minimizing errors and downtimes.
Groz-Beckert extends collaborative opportunities to machine builders for product enhancement through its Technology and Development Center (TEZ), yielding joint patents, exemplified by the fruitful partnership with Santoni. This collaborative venture stands as a testament to industry leaders' commitment to innovation and sustainability, heralding a new era in circular knitting technology.
The urgency for sustainable practices in the textile industry intensifies as Portland’s Functional Fabric Fair prepares to host the Designing for Circularity panel. Set for Wednesday, April 17th at 2:00 pm, this event, spearheaded by Formidable Media, aims to decode the complexities of circular design amidst regulatory pressures and market dynamics.
With fashion ranking among the globe’s top polluters, industry experts recognize the imperative to revolutionize design paradigms. Scott Kaier, Founder of Formidable Media, underscores the pivotal role of informed design in forging a sustainable trajectory. "Today's designers wield the power to pioneer cleaner, more sustainable practices," he asserts.
Handpicked from leading outdoor, fashion, lifestyle, and footwear sectors, the panelists represent a cross-section of expertise crucial for navigating the circularity landscape. Among them are Daniel Uretsky of Allied Feather + Down, Martin Flora of Green Theme Technologies, Sarah Schlinger of Woolmark, Sharon Perez of Lenzing Group, Brian La Plante of YKK, Theresa McKenney of Nemo Equipment, showcasing a spectrum of perspectives encompassing materials, sustainability, and innovation.
By convening key stakeholders, the panel aims to equip designers, product developers, and brand representatives with actionable insights to steer their ventures towards sustainability. From sourcing to recycling, the discourse promises to illuminate pathways towards a greener future.
As the textile industry navigates a pivotal juncture, the Designing for Circularity panel emerges as a beacon of guidance, propelling the sector towards a more sustainable tomorrow.
India is charting an ambitious trajectory in the textile sector, targeting a substantial leap in exports to $600 billion by 2047, up from $44 billion in FY22, while concurrently envisioning a domestic market expansion to $1.8 trillion from $110 billion in 2022.
This bold endeavor, articulated through the Textiles Ministry's Vision 2047, rests on five strategic pillars: research and innovation, infrastructure, trade and investment, marketing and brand promotion, skilling and quality, and sustainability.
Initial deliberations hint at an export landscape dominated by apparel and made-ups, poised to surpass $350 billion, with technical textiles contributing around $85 billion. Domestically, the apparel sector is anticipated to burgeon to $1.2 trillion, while technical textiles could amass around $460 billion in market value.
However, the industry confronts significant hurdles, including sourcing raw materials to meet export targets, necessitating robust investment policies and supply augmentation strategies. Notably, the vision underscores the elevation of domestic brands into global champions and a renewed emphasis on quality enhancement and indigenous manufacturing, particularly in machinery and high-value exports.
Crucially, the roadmap envisions milestones for 2030, foreseeing a domestic market worth $250 billion and exports reaching $100 billion. Moreover, India aspires to carve a niche as a sustainable manufacturing leader, targeting a 30 per cent share of global recycled fibers and pioneering innovations in textiles recycling and waste management.
As India gears up to commemorate its 100th year of Independence in 2047, stakeholders anticipate a comprehensive strategy, spanning short-term initiatives and a long-term vision, to propel the textile sector toward unprecedented growth and global prominence.
